New Hampshire
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
101  Elinor Purrier SO 20:04
316  Chelsey Serrano SR 20:38
346  Anne Twombly SR 20:42
514  Laura Rose Donegan JR 20:57
649  Amber Short JR 21:08
661  Samantha Blaise JR 21:09
739  Brianna Boden JR 21:15
985  Hannah Kimball SO 21:33
1,139  Sarah Keiran SO 21:41
1,245  Alexandria Giese 21:49
1,742  Riley Gilmore FR 22:18
1,935  Mckenzie Haney JR 22:30
2,371  Kellie Walker 22:58
2,722  Rachel Provost 23:28
National Rank #54 of 341
Northeast Region Rank #9 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 8.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.6%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 24.2%
Top 10 in Regional 85.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elinor Purrier Chelsey Serrano Anne Twombly Laura Rose Donegan Amber Short Samantha Blaise Brianna Boden Hannah Kimball Sarah Keiran Alexandria Giese Riley Gilmore
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 848 19:56 20:46 20:27 21:09 21:06 21:18 21:27 21:55 21:46 22:04
NWICAAA Championship 10/11 1024 20:27 20:49 21:16 21:20 21:02 21:35 21:27
CCSU Mini Meet 10/24 1222 21:06 21:31 21:59 22:28
American East Championships 11/01 843 20:05 20:38 20:42 20:45 21:06 21:05 21:04 21:19 21:49 21:36
Northeast Region Championships 11/14 792 20:03 20:31 20:48 20:32 21:01 21:12 20:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 8.1% 27.0 624 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.4
Region Championship 100% 7.5 221 0.7 2.1 4.5 7.1 9.8 12.0 13.5 13.2 11.8 10.7 7.7 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elinor Purrier 31.1% 75.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Chelsey Serrano 8.2% 155.4
Anne Twombly 8.1% 160.9
Laura Rose Donegan 8.1% 197.6
Amber Short 8.1% 219.3
Samantha Blaise 8.1% 220.9
Brianna Boden 8.1% 229.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elinor Purrier 13.1 0.0 1.1 2.0 2.7 3.6 4.6 4.6 5.3 5.6 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.5 5.4 6.5 5.0 5.0 3.9 3.8 3.2 3.1 2.1 1.3 1.2
Chelsey Serrano 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.1 3.1 3.0
Anne Twombly 38.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.4
Laura Rose Donegan 59.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Amber Short 77.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Samantha Blaise 79.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
Brianna Boden 89.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 4.5% 54.2% 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1 2.5 3
4 7.1% 27.5% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.2 2.0 4
5 9.8% 6.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.2 0.6 5
6 12.0% 2.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.7 0.3 6
7 13.5% 0.1% 0.0 13.5 0.0 7
8 13.2% 13.2 8
9 11.8% 11.8 9
10 10.7% 10.7 10
11 7.7% 7.7 11
12 4.1% 4.1 12
13 2.0% 2.0 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 8.1% 0.7 2.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 91.9 2.8 5.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0